| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 44.42% | 25.53% | 30.05% |
| Both teams to score 53.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.31% | 49.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% | 71.7% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.68% | 22.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.2% | 55.8% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% | 30.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.27% | 66.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.42% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.09% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.05% |