Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 57.03%. A win for had a probability of 21.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.21%) and 0-1 (8.03%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%).
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 21.78% | 21.19% | 57.03% |
| Both teams to score 60.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.76% | 37.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.56% | 59.44% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% | 30.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% | 66.54% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.05% | 12.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.58% | 39.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 5.71% 1-0 @ 4.69% 2-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.32% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.89% Total : 21.78% | 1-1 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 3.93% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 8.21% 0-1 @ 8.03% 1-3 @ 6.67% 0-3 @ 5.6% 2-3 @ 3.98% 1-4 @ 3.41% 0-4 @ 2.86% 2-4 @ 2.03% 1-5 @ 1.39% 0-5 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.88% Total : 57.03% |