| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Western United had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
| 39.04% | 23.64% | 37.32% |
| Both teams to score 62.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.89% | 39.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.57% | 61.43% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% | 20.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.3% | 52.7% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.85% | 21.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.99% | 54.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% 1-0 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.01% Total : 39.04% | 1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 6.59% 0-0 @ 4.3% 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-1 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.66% 2-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.79% Total : 37.32% |