Australian A-League | Gameweek 24

Apr 17, 2022 at 4.05am UK

Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington

Wellington
0 - 4
Central Coast

Ball (34'), McGarry (54')

FT(HT: 0-1)

N'Kololo (25'), Cummings (62'), Moresche (65'), Hatch (90+6', 90+6')
Nisbet (32'), N'Kololo (77')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

Last Six:

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Perth Glory	4	1	4
10	Wellington Phoenix	5	-6	4
11	Adelaide United	5	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
30.45%	23.29%	46.25%

Both teams to score 61.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.58%

39.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.24%

61.76%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.89%

25.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.19%

59.81%

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.63%

17.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.22%

47.78%

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 30.45%

Central Coast Mariners 46.25%

Draw 23.29%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 7.29% 1-0 @ 6.03% 2-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.45%	1-1 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 6.38% 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.29%	1-2 @ 9.23% 0-1 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 6.68% 1-3 @ 5.39% 0-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 3.72% 1-4 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.63% Other @ 4.01% Total : 46.25%