| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 43.69% | 25.36% | 30.94% |
| Both teams to score 54.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.37% | 48.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.26% | 70.74% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.79% | 22.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.37% | 55.63% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.64% | 29.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.66% | 65.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 7.38% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.69% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.99% 1-2 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.94% |