| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 38.97% | 25.95% | 35.08% |
| Both teams to score 54.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.95% | 50.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.97% | 72.03% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% | 25.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.05% | 59.95% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% | 27.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.11% | 62.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.97% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.94% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 5.79% 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.08% |