Adelaide United
0 - 1
Victory

Ibusuki (45+3'), Juande (61'), Lopez (66')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rojas (7')
Spiranovic (27'), Margiotta (49'), Kelava (90+6')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne Victory
44.95%	24.12%	30.94%

Both teams to score 59.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.94%

43.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.54%

65.46%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65%

19.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.87%

51.13%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.4%

26.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.18%

61.82%

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 44.95%

Melbourne Victory 30.94%

Draw 24.11%

Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.94% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.19% Total : 44.95%	1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.11%	1-2 @ 7.41% 0-1 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.16% Total : 30.94%