Australian A-League

May 14, 2022 at 10.45am UK

AAMI Park

Western Utd
1 - 0
Wellington

Prijovic (10')
Imai (37'), Milanovic (87'), Bozinovski (90+3'), Pain (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lewis (51')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

Last Six:

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Perth Glory	4	1	4
10	Wellington Phoenix	5	-6	4
11	Adelaide United	5	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 53.64%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
53.64%	22.84%	23.51%

Both teams to score 57.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.15%

42.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.74%

65.25%

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.05%

15.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.78%

45.22%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.02%

31.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.56%

68.43%

Score Analysis

Western United 53.65%

Wellington Phoenix 23.51%

Draw 22.84%

Western United	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 6% 3-0 @ 5.26% 3-2 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-0 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.47% Total : 53.65%	1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 5.59% 0-0 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.84%	1-2 @ 6.09% 0-1 @ 5.81% 0-2 @ 3.31% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.6% Total : 23.51%