Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Wellington Phoenix.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 53.64%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
