Australian A-League | Gameweek 26

Apr 29, 2022 at 10.45am UK

Docklands Stadium

Victory
3 - 1
Wellington

D'Agostino (2'), Brimmer (68' pen.), Rojas (78')
Broxham (24'), D'Agostino (39'), Nigro (43'), Rojas (54')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sandoval (26' pen.)
Wootton (13'), Surman (71'), Pennington (77')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

Last Six:

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Perth Glory	4	1	4
10	Wellington Phoenix	5	-6	4
11	Adelaide United	5	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
56.04%	21.99%	21.98%

Both teams to score 58.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.28%

40.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.89%

63.11%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.59%

14.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.67%

42.33%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.86%

32.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.38%

68.62%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 56.04%

Wellington Phoenix 21.98%

Draw 21.99%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 6.37% 3-0 @ 5.61% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 3.09% 4-0 @ 2.72% 4-2 @ 1.75% 5-1 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.11% Total : 56.04%	1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 5.6% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.99%	1-2 @ 5.78% 0-1 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 2.98% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.52% Total : 21.98%