Apr 29, 2022 10.45am

3

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Nicholas D'Agostino 2'
Leigh Broxham 24'
Nicholas D'Agostino 39'
Stefan Nigro 43'
Marco Rojas 54'
Jake Brimmer 68'
Marco Rojas 78'

Scott Wootton 13'
Gael Sandoval 26'
Finn Surman 71'
Nicholas Pennington 77'

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

D
W
W
D
W
W

Australian A-League

D
W
W
D
W
W

Last game

Apr 25, 2022 5.05am

Brisbane Roar 1 - 1 Victory

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

W
L
W
W
L
L

Australian A-League

W
L
W
W
L
L

Last game

Apr 24, 2022 4.05am

Wellington 1 - 0 Western Sydney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result

Melbourne Victory 56.04%

Draw 21.99%

Wellington Phoenix 21.98%

Both Teams to Score:

58.08%

Goals

Over 2.5 59.28%

Under 2.5 40.72%

Over 3.5 36.89%

Under 3.5 63.11%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 85.59%

Under 0.5 14.41%

Over 1.5 57.67%

Under 1.5 42.33%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 67.86%

Under 0.5 32.14%

Over 1.5 31.38%

Under 1.5 68.62%

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 56.04%

Draw 21.99%

Wellington Phoenix 21.98%

Melbourne Victory

2-1 @ 9.87%

1-0 @ 8.97%

2-0 @ 8.69%

3-1 @ 6.37%

3-0 @ 5.61%

3-2 @ 3.62%

4-1 @ 3.09%

4-0 @ 2.72%

4-2 @ 1.75%

5-1 @ 1.2%

5-0 @ 1.05%

Other @ 3.11%

Total : 56.04%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.18%

2-2 @ 5.6%

0-0 @ 4.63%

3-3 @ 1.37%

Other @ 0.21%

Total : 21.99%

Wellington Phoenix

1-2 @ 5.78%

0-1 @ 5.26%

0-2 @ 2.98%

1-3 @ 2.19%

2-3 @ 2.12%

0-3 @ 1.13%

Other @ 2.52%

Total : 21.98%

Head to Head

Feb 9, 2022 8.05am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

David Ball 57'
Reno Piscopo 74'
Louis Fenton 76'
Reno Piscopo 90'

Mar 24, 2021 8.05am

4

1

HT : 2 0

FT

Tomer Hemed 11'
David Ball 36'
Ulises Davila 62'
Clayton Lewis 68'
Louis Fenton 74'

Adama Traore 65'
Robbie Kruse 70'
Elvis Kamsoba 76'
Jacob Butterfield 90'+1'

Feb 24, 2021 8.05am

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT AAMI Park

Leigh Broxham 34'
Ryan Shotton 37'
Rudy Gestede 45'+3'
Rudy Gestede 49'
Dalibor Markovic 55'
Aaron Anderson 62'

Mirza Muratovic 18'
James McGarry 25'
Louis Fenton 51'

Mar 15, 2020 5.20am

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT

Ulises Davila 3'
Cameron Devlin 10'
Gary Hooper 21'
David Ball 55'
Alex Rufer 66'
Matti Steinmann 78'

Birkan Kirdar 20'
Storm Roux 57'
Andrew Nabbout 86'

Dec 14, 2019 6.00am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT AAMI Park (Melbourne)

James Donachie 31'
Migjen Basha 34'
Kristijan Dobras 48'
Kristijan Dobras 60'
Andrew Nabbout 73'
Ola Toivonen 76'
Leigh Broxham 79'
Jakob Poulsen 81'

Matti Steinmann 32'
Jaushua Sotirio 74'
Cameron Devlin 86'

Nov 10, 2019 5.00am

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT AAMI Park (Melbourne)

Leigh Broxham 45'
Ola Toivonen 66'
Kenjok Athiu 69'
Storm Roux 85'

Ulises Davila 5'
Steven Taylor 20'
David Ball 32'
Stefan Marinovic 81'

Form Data

Brisbane Roar 1 - 1 Victory

Macarthur 1 - 4 Victory

Newcastle Jets 1 - 2 Victory

Victory 0 - 0 Brisbane Roar

Victory 3 - 0 Melbourne City

Perth Glory 0 - 1 Victory

Wellington 1 - 0 Western Sydney

Wellington 0 - 4 Central Coast

Perth Glory 0 - 1 Wellington

Western Utd 1 - 4 Wellington

Central Coast 5 - 0 Wellington

Wellington 0 - 6 Melbourne City