Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
56.04% | 21.99% | 21.98% |
Both teams to score 58.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.28% | 40.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.89% | 63.11% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.59% | 14.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.67% | 42.33% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.86% | 32.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.38% | 68.62% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 6.37% 3-0 @ 5.61% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 3.09% 4-0 @ 2.72% 4-2 @ 1.75% 5-1 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.11% Total : 56.04% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 5.6% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-1 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 2.98% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.52% Total : 21.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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