Australian A-League | Gameweek 17

Apr 2, 2022 at 6.35am UK

Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington

Wellington
0 - 6
Melbourne City

Pennington (87'), Ball (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Surman (17' og.), Leckie (50'), Nabbout (59'), Good (68'), Tilio (76', 81')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

Last Six:

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Perth Glory	4	1	4
10	Wellington Phoenix	5	-6	4
11	Adelaide United	5	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.21%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 22.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Melbourne City
22.65%	22.13%	55.21%

Both teams to score 58.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.43%

40.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.04%

62.95%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.54%

31.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.16%

67.84%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.37%

14.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.26%

42.74%

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 22.65%

Melbourne City 55.21%

Draw 22.12%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 5.92% 1-0 @ 5.32% 2-0 @ 3.08% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.68% Total : 22.65%	1-1 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 5.69% 0-0 @ 4.6% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.12%	1-2 @ 9.83% 0-1 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-3 @ 6.3% 0-3 @ 5.45% 2-3 @ 3.64% 1-4 @ 3.03% 0-4 @ 2.62% 2-4 @ 1.75% 1-5 @ 1.16% 0-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.07% Total : 55.21%