Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Apr 2, 2022 at 6.35am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Wellington0 - 6Melbourne City
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Utd
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.21%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 22.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 22.65% | 22.13% | 55.21% |
| Both teams to score 58.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
