Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 52.88%. A win for had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%).
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 25.15% | 21.97% | 52.88% |
| Both teams to score 62.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.94% | 37.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.74% | 59.26% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% | 27.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.98% | 63.02% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.83% | 14.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.15% | 41.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 6.34% 1-0 @ 5.03% 2-0 @ 3.25% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.74% Total : 25.15% | 1-1 @ 9.83% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 3.9% 3-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-1 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 7.44% 1-3 @ 6.26% 0-3 @ 4.85% 2-3 @ 4.04% 1-4 @ 3.06% 0-4 @ 2.37% 2-4 @ 1.97% 1-5 @ 1.2% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.55% Total : 52.88% |