Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 54.84%. A win for had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.37%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 54.84% | 21.36% | 23.8% |
| Both teams to score 62.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.42% | 35.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.37% | 57.63% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.94% | 13.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.37% | 39.63% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% | 27.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.68% | 63.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% 2-0 @ 7.51% 1-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 6.53% 3-0 @ 5.1% 3-2 @ 4.19% 4-1 @ 3.33% 4-0 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.06% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.14% Total : 54.84% | 1-1 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 3.62% 3-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-1 @ 4.64% 0-2 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.62% Total : 23.8% |