Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 55.15%. A win for had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.74%) and 0-1 (7.67%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%).
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 23.39% | 21.46% | 55.15% |
| Both teams to score 61.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.48% | 36.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.33% | 58.67% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% | 28.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.61% | 64.39% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.73% | 13.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.92% | 40.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 6.01% 1-0 @ 4.75% 2-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.37% Total : 23.39% | 1-1 @ 9.6% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 3.8% 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-2 @ 7.74% 0-1 @ 7.67% 1-3 @ 6.52% 0-3 @ 5.21% 2-3 @ 4.08% 1-4 @ 3.29% 0-4 @ 2.63% 2-4 @ 2.06% 1-5 @ 1.33% 0-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.87% Total : 55.15% |