Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 70.83%. A draw had a probability of 18.49% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 10.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.78%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%) , while for a Atromitos win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.