Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.44% and a win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%) , while for a AEL Larissa win it was 1-0 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.