Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Ceara win was 1-0 (9.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.