Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-2 (6.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.