Austrian Bundesliga
Dec 7, 2025 at 4pm UK
 

Sturm Graz
2-1
GrazerGrazer AK

Mitchell (7'), Malone (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lichtenberger (90+10')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Grazer AK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Austria Vienna 3-1 Sturm Graz
Sunday, December 14 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Grazer AK

All competitions
Last Game: Grazer 1-2 LASK
Saturday, December 13 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.97% and a win for Grazer AK had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%) , while for a Grazer AK win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawGrazer AK
51.4%24.97%23.62%
Both teams to score 50.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.23%51.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.46%73.53%
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86%20.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.59%52.41%
Grazer AK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22%36.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43%73.56%
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 51.39%
    Grazer AK 23.62%
    Draw 24.97%
Sturm GrazDrawGrazer AK
1-0 @ 11.86%
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 9.51%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-0 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 7.41%
2-2 @ 4.76%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.41%
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 23.62%

Head to Head
Aug 30, 2025 6.30pm
Grazer
0-3
Sturm Graz
Mar 9, 2025 4pm
gameweek 21
Grazer
1-2
Sturm Graz
Perchtold (78')
Schriebl (9'), Lichtenberger (33'), Maderner (45'), Tikvic (66'), Perchtold (79'), Perchtold (79')
Perchtold (88')
Kiteishvili (86'), Junior Yalcouye (90+2')
Chukwuani (81'), Junior Yalcouye (90+3')
Oct 19, 2024 4pm
gameweek 10
Sturm Graz
5-2
Grazer
Gazibegovic (34'), Kiteishvili (40', 79'), Biereth (50'), Meierhofer (64')
Geyrhofer (23'), Gazibegovic (36'), Junior Yalcouye (46')
Maderner (54'), Rosenberger (56')
Graf (12'), Jovicic (25'), Maderner (33'), Cipot (54'), Rosenberger (59'), Cheukoua (61')