Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 38.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.62%) and 2-0 (4.84%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.