Attendance: 3,960
Polish Ekstraklasa
Dec 7, 2025 at 11.15am UK
 

Nieciecza
2-1
JagielloniaJagiellonia Bialystok

Drachal (25' og.), Zapolnik (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vital (40')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Nieciecza and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nieciecza

All competitions
Last Game: Nieciecza 2-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, December 7 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Motor Lublin 1-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, December 14 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Next Game: AZ vs. Jagiellonia
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Nieciecza had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Nieciecza win was 2-1 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
NiecieczaDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
32.14%24.16%43.69%
Both teams to score 59.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25%42.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85%65.14%
Nieciecza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31%25.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.4%60.59%
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.24%19.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.21%51.79%
Score Analysis
    Nieciecza 32.14%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 43.69%
    Draw 24.16%
NiecieczaDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 7.6%
1-0 @ 6.9%
2-0 @ 4.69%
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 32.14%
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-1 @ 8.23%
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 4.9%
0-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 3.33%
1-4 @ 1.99%
0-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 43.69%

Head to Head
Jul 18, 2025 5pm
gameweek 1
Jagiellonia
0-4
Nieciecza