Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 69.17%. A draw had a probability of 17.21% and a win for Leicester City Women had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-3 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%) , while for a Leicester City Women win it was 2-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.