Brasileiro
Dec 7, 2025 at 7pm UK
Estadio Manoel Barradas
Sao Paulo

Vitoria
1 - 0
Sao Paulo

Baralhas (68')
Camutanga (20'), Baralhas (70'), Oliveira (86'), (86'), Ronald (90+3'), Matheuzinho (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ferreira (42')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vitoria and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last Game: Vitoria 1-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, December 7 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last Game: Vitoria 1-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, December 7 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
VitoriaDrawSao Paulo
44.15%27.78%28.06%
Both teams to score 46.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.76%59.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.35%79.65%
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31%26.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06%61.94%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.95%37.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.16%73.83%
Score Analysis
    Vitoria 44.15%
    Sao Paulo 28.07%
    Draw 27.77%
VitoriaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.06%
2-0 @ 8.63%
2-1 @ 8.57%
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.25%
4-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 44.15%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 9.82%
1-2 @ 6.44%
0-2 @ 4.87%
1-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 28.07%

Head to Head
Aug 9, 2025 10.30pm
Sao Paulo
2-0
Vitoria
Aug 25, 2024 10.30pm
gameweek 24
Sao Paulo
2-1
Vitoria
Gomes Carvalho Santos (6'), Erick (30')
Alerrandro (62' pen.)
Oliveira (86'), Hugo (87')
May 5, 2024 8pm
gameweek 5
Vitoria
1-3
Sao Paulo
Oliveira (49')
Uvini (25'), Esteves (60'), Dudu (87')
Leonardo (7')
Luciano (45', 53'), Ferraresi (84')
Bobadilla (14'), Franco (36'), Galoppo (36'), Galoppo (45'), Araujo (82')
Oct 26, 2018 11.30pm
gameweek 31
Vitoria
0-1
Sao Paulo

Riberio (41')
Alves (37')
Hudson (32'), Carneiro (45')
Jean (95')
Jun 13, 2018 1.30am
gameweek 12
Sao Paulo
3-0
Vitoria
Nene (21', 42'), Everton (54')
Nene (36'), Fernandes (45'), Jucilei (61'), Hudson (66')
Fernandes (77')

Bruno (15'), Neilton (35'), Rhayner (36')
Yago (35')