Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (11.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.