Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (11.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Racing Club
38.87%	28.54%	32.59%

Both teams to score 45.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.51%

60.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.39%

80.61%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.77%

30.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.61%

66.39%

Racing Club Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.7%

34.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29%

71%

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 38.87%

Racing Club 32.58%

Draw 28.53%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Racing Club
1-0 @ 12.4% 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.87%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.36% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.53%	0-1 @ 11.09% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.94% 1-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.29% Total : 32.58%

Head to Head

Aug 9, 2025 8.30pm

Group 8

Boca Juniors

1-1

Racing

Feb 9, 2025 1.15am

gameweek 4

Racing

2-0

Boca Juniors

Vietto (16', 16'), Martinez (87', 87')
Martirena (35'), Martirena (35'), Ignacio Nardoni (45+4'), Ignacio Nardoni (45+4'), Martinez (54'), Martinez (54'), Belmonte (73'), Belmonte (73'), Solari (84'), Solari (84')

Cavani (17'), Cavani (17'), Costa (37'), Costa (37'), Barinaga (47'), Barinaga (47'), Mura (72'), Mura (72'), Marchesin (90'), Alarcon (90+8'), Alarcon (90+8'), Marchesin (90'), Alarcon (90+8'), Alarcon (90+8')
Zenon (89'), Zenon (89')

Sep 14, 2024 9.30pm

gameweek 14

Racing

2-1

Boca Juniors

Ignacio Nardoni (21'), Martinez (81')
Ignacio Nardoni (71')

Gimenez (17')
Gimenez (13'), Anselmino (19'), Lema (48'), Blanco (49')

Mar 11, 2024 12.30am

gameweek 10

Boca Juniors

4-2

Racing