Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.