Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 54.18%. A win for had a probability of 23.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 54.18% | 22.47% | 23.35% |
| Both teams to score 58.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.7% | 41.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.3% | 63.7% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% | 15.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.13% | 43.87% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% | 31.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.39% | 67.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 6.15% 3-0 @ 5.29% 3-2 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.9% 4-0 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 1.68% 5-1 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.87% Total : 54.18% | 1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 5.7% 0-0 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-1 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.75% Total : 23.35% |