Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 54.18%. A win for had a probability of 23.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%).
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
54.18% | 22.47% | 23.35% |
Both teams to score 58.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.7% | 41.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.3% | 63.7% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.78% | 15.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.13% | 43.87% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.74% | 31.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.39% | 67.61% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 6.15% 3-0 @ 5.29% 3-2 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.9% 4-0 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 1.68% 5-1 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.87% Total : 54.18% | 1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 5.7% 0-0 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-1 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.75% Total : 23.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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