Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%).
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 44.29% | 22.85% | 32.86% |
| Both teams to score 64.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.84% | 36.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.73% | 58.27% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.15% | 16.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.13% | 46.87% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% | 22.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.51% | 55.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% 1-0 @ 6.64% 2-0 @ 5.91% 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-2 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-2 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 4.34% Total : 44.29% | 1-1 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 6.73% 0-0 @ 3.73% 3-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-1 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 4.24% 1-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.41% Total : 32.86% |