Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 1-0 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a win it was 1-2 (5.31%).
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 59.71% | 20.41% | 19.88% |
| Both teams to score 60.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.82% | 36.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.7% | 58.3% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.15% | 11.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.88% | 37.12% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.51% | 31.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.12% | 67.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 8.49% 1-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 6.97% 3-0 @ 6.04% 3-2 @ 4.03% 4-1 @ 3.72% 4-0 @ 3.22% 4-2 @ 2.15% 5-1 @ 1.59% 5-0 @ 1.37% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.46% Total : 59.71% | 1-1 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 3.73% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.41% | 1-2 @ 5.31% 0-1 @ 4.31% 0-2 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.57% Total : 19.88% |