Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Mar 9, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Wellington3 - 2Newcastle Jets
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Newcastle Jets.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 39.62% | 24.7% | 35.68% |
| Both teams to score 58.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
