Australian A-League | Gameweek 9

Mar 9, 2022 at 8.45am UK

Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington

Wellington
3 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Sotirio (25' pen.), Waine (45+1'), Ball (88')
Laws (5'), Sutton (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Penha (42'), Boumal (63')
Jurman (24'), Siatravanis (40'), O'Doherty (76'), Murnane (83')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

Last Six:

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Perth Glory	4	1	4
10	Wellington Phoenix	5	-6	4
11	Adelaide United	5	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Newcastle Jets
39.62%	24.7%	35.68%

Both teams to score 58.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.65%

44.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.28%

66.72%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.68%

22.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.2%

55.8%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.61%

24.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.2%

58.79%

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 39.62%

Newcastle Jets 35.68%

Draw 24.69%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.64% 1-0 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.62%	1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69%	1-2 @ 8.13% 0-1 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.68%