Macarthur
0 - 1
Melbourne City

Giannou (41'), Davila (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

MacLaren (64')
Bos (31'), Stokes (38'), Good (45+1'), O'Neill (89'), Gomulka (90+1')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Melbourne City
24.01%	22.01%	53.98%

Both teams to score 60.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.56%

38.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.27%

60.73%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.85%

29.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.92%

65.08%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.71%

14.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.91%

42.09%

Score Analysis

Macarthur 24.01%

Melbourne City 53.98%

Draw 22.01%

Macarthur	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 6.16% 1-0 @ 5.13% 2-0 @ 3.17% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.26% Total : 24.01%	1-1 @ 9.99% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 4.16% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.01%	1-2 @ 9.72% 0-1 @ 8.1% 0-2 @ 7.88% 1-3 @ 6.3% 0-3 @ 5.11% 2-3 @ 3.89% 1-4 @ 3.07% 0-4 @ 2.49% 2-4 @ 1.89% 1-5 @ 1.19% 0-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.37% Total : 53.98%