Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
5 | Melbourne City | 5 | 1 | 8 |
6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne City |
24.01% | 22.01% | 53.98% |
Both teams to score 60.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.56% | 38.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.27% | 60.73% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.85% | 29.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.92% | 65.08% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.71% | 14.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.91% | 42.09% |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 6.16% 1-0 @ 5.13% 2-0 @ 3.17% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.26% Total : 24.01% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 4.16% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-1 @ 8.1% 0-2 @ 7.88% 1-3 @ 6.3% 0-3 @ 5.11% 2-3 @ 3.89% 1-4 @ 3.07% 0-4 @ 2.49% 2-4 @ 1.89% 1-5 @ 1.19% 0-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.37% Total : 53.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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