| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 34.86% | 24.56% | 40.58% |
| Both teams to score 59.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.14% | 43.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.76% | 66.24% |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% | 24.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.88% | 59.12% |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% | 21.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% | 54.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% 1-0 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 5.23% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.86% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-1 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.58% |