Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 38.67% | 25.38% | 35.95% |
| Both teams to score 56.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.55% | 47.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.34% | 69.66% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% | 24.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% | 58.51% |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% | 25.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.41% | 60.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.67% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.44% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.45% Total : 35.95% |