Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%).
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 25.91% | 22.23% | 51.86% |
| Both teams to score 62.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.41% | 37.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.17% | 59.83% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% | 27.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.34% | 62.66% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.32% | 14.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.14% | 42.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 6.49% 1-0 @ 5.2% 2-0 @ 3.38% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.7% 3-0 @ 1.47% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.94% Total : 25.91% | 1-1 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4% 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-1 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 7.36% 1-3 @ 6.12% 0-3 @ 4.71% 2-3 @ 3.98% 1-4 @ 2.94% 0-4 @ 2.26% 2-4 @ 1.91% 1-5 @ 1.13% Other @ 4.22% Total : 51.86% |