Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Apr 20, 2022 at 10.05am UK
Parramatta Stadium
Western Sydney3 - 2Newcastle Jets
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Newcastle Jets.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Western Sydney
Sunday, May 8 at 7.05am in Australian A-League
Sunday, May 8 at 7.05am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 43.51% | 24.51% | 31.97% |
| Both teams to score 58.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
