Australian A-League | Gameweek 18

May 25, 2021 at 10.05am UK

Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Brisbane Roar
3 - 0
Melbourne City

O'Shea (6' pen., 52' pen.), Parsons (38')
Akbari (34'), Wenzel-Halls (36')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mills (51'), Reis (61'), Berenguer (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Melbourne City
30.89%	23.83%	45.28%

Both teams to score 60.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.27%

41.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.86%

64.13%

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03%

25.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02%

60.98%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.32%

18.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.99%

50.01%

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 30.89%

Melbourne City 45.28%

Draw 23.83%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 7.4% 1-0 @ 6.54% 2-0 @ 4.41% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.89%	1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.83%	1-2 @ 9.21% 0-1 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 6.83% 1-3 @ 5.15% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 3.47% 1-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.45% Total : 45.28%