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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
May 25, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Melbourne City

Brisbane Roar
3 - 0
Melbourne City

O'Shea (6' pen., 52' pen.), Parsons (38')
Akbari (34'), Wenzel-Halls (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mills (51'), Reis (61'), Berenguer (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne City
30.89%23.83%45.28%
Both teams to score 60.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.27%41.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.86%64.13%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03%25.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02%60.98%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.32%18.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.99%50.01%
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 30.89%
    Melbourne City 45.28%
    Draw 23.83%
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 7.4%
1-0 @ 6.54%
2-0 @ 4.41%
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 30.89%
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 9.21%
0-1 @ 8.14%
0-2 @ 6.83%
1-3 @ 5.15%
0-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 3.47%
1-4 @ 2.16%
0-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 45.28%

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City

Brisbane Roar
25.6%
Draw
10.3%
Melbourne City
64.1%
78
Head to Head
May 9, 2021 7.05am
Gameweek 26
Melbourne City
3-2
Brisbane Roar
Metcalfe (14'), Trewin (17' og.), Galloway (73')
Reis (46'), Galloway (49'), Nabbout (86'), O'Neill (87')
Champness (28'), Gillesphey (38')
Daley (32')
Dec 29, 2020 8.05am
Gameweek 6
Brisbane Roar
0-1
Melbourne City

Hingert (48')
Metcalfe (52')
Luna (52')
Luna (69')
Mar 1, 2020 7.30am
Gameweek 21
Melbourne City
1-0
Brisbane Roar
Young (55' og.)
Luna (75')

Akbari (74')
Jan 11, 2020 6am
Gameweek 14
Brisbane Roar
2-2
Melbourne City
Inman (35', 45')
Aldred (76'), Hingert (80')
Noone (39'), Atkinson (48')
Jamieson (63')
Nov 17, 2019 5am
Gameweek 6
Brisbane Roar
4-3
Melbourne City
O'Donovan (50', 64' pen., 83' pen.), Amadi-Holloway (60')
McGing (33'), O'Donovan (52'), Wenzel-Halls (71'), O'Shea (85'), Mauk (88')
MacLaren (6', 29', 51')
Noone (56'), Griffiths (67'), Genreau (82'), Cabrera (84'), Galloway (94')
rhs 2.0
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