Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 57.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a win it was 1-2 (5.53%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 57.8% | 21.44% | 20.75% |
| Both teams to score 58.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.18% | 39.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.83% | 62.17% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.44% | 13.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.35% | 40.65% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.23% | 32.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.67% | 69.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% 1-0 @ 8.88% 2-0 @ 8.87% 3-1 @ 6.59% 3-0 @ 5.91% 3-2 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 3.29% 4-0 @ 2.95% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.32% 5-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.41% Total : 57.8% | 1-1 @ 9.9% 2-2 @ 5.52% 0-0 @ 4.44% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-1 @ 4.96% 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.37% Total : 20.75% |