Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 28.3% | 23.03% | 48.67% |
| Both teams to score 61.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.51% | 39.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.17% | 61.83% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% | 26.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.26% | 61.74% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% | 16.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.79% | 46.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 6.94% 1-0 @ 5.8% 2-0 @ 3.85% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1.02% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.23% Total : 28.3% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 4.38% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-1 @ 7.89% 0-2 @ 7.11% 1-3 @ 5.67% 0-3 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 3.76% 1-4 @ 2.55% 0-4 @ 1.93% 2-4 @ 1.69% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.45% Total : 48.67% |