Australian A-League | Gameweek 3

Jan 2, 2021 at 8.10am UK

AAMI Park

Victory
1 - 3
Brisbane Roar

McManaman (24')
McManaman (46'), Traore (54'), Anderson (61'), Roux (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McDonald (16'), Gillesphey (60'), Wenzel-Halls (79')
Gillesphey (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Brisbane Roar
35.36%	25.39%	39.26%

Both teams to score 56.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.45%

47.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.24%

69.75%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.93%

26.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.89%

61.11%

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07%

23.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.86%

58.14%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 35.36%

Brisbane Roar 39.26%

Draw 25.38%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Brisbane Roar
1-0 @ 8.39% 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.33% Total : 35.36%	1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 8.92% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 4.09% 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.26%