| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Macarthur in this match.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 40.74% | 24.74% | 34.52% |
| Both teams to score 58.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.27% | 44.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.9% | 67.1% |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% | 21.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.77% | 55.23% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% | 25.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.03% | 59.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% 1-0 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.74% | 1-2 @ 7.96% 0-1 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.52% |