Sydney FC
1 - 4
Victory

le Fondre (16')
Retre (28'), Yazbek (77')

FT(HT: 1-3)

D'Agostino (14'), Brimmer (30'), Geria (38'), Hamill (87')
Marchan (69')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne Victory
40.54%	25.54%	33.91%

Both teams to score 55.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.5%

48.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.37%

70.62%

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.3%

23.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.19%

57.8%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.62%

27.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.15%

62.84%

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 40.54%

Melbourne Victory 33.91%

Draw 25.55%

Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne Victory
1-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.54%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.55%	0-1 @ 8.4% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.91%