Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 54.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-0 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 22.2% | 23.27% | 54.53% |
| Both teams to score 54.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.8% | 46.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.5% | 68.5% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.99% | 35.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.25% | 71.76% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.17% | 16.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.17% | 46.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 1-0 @ 6.19% 2-1 @ 5.78% 2-0 @ 3.25% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.02% Total : 22.2% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.27% | 0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-2 @ 9.36% 1-3 @ 5.83% 0-3 @ 5.56% 2-3 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 2.6% 0-4 @ 2.48% 2-4 @ 1.36% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.05% Total : 54.53% |