Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 54.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-0 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
22.2% | 23.27% | 54.53% |
Both teams to score 54.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.8% | 46.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.5% | 68.5% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.99% | 35.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.25% | 71.76% |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.17% | 16.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.17% | 46.83% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
1-0 @ 6.19% 2-1 @ 5.78% 2-0 @ 3.25% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.02% Total : 22.2% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.27% | 0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-2 @ 9.36% 1-3 @ 5.83% 0-3 @ 5.56% 2-3 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 2.6% 0-4 @ 2.48% 2-4 @ 1.36% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.05% Total : 54.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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