Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 33.85% | 25.02% | 41.13% |
| Both teams to score 57.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.85% | 46.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.55% | 68.45% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% | 26.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.58% | 61.42% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% | 22.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.14% | 55.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.86% 1-0 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 5.25% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.85% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.88% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.01% | 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-1 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 6.6% 1-3 @ 4.4% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.94% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.13% |