Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%).
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 43.76% | 22.7% | 33.54% |
| Both teams to score 65.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.86% | 35.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.86% | 57.14% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.34% | 16.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.49% | 46.5% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.73% | 21.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.81% | 54.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% 1-0 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 5.26% 3-2 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.53% Total : 43.76% | 1-1 @ 9.83% 2-2 @ 6.82% 0-0 @ 3.54% 3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-1 @ 5.48% 0-2 @ 4.24% 1-3 @ 3.93% 2-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.69% Total : 33.54% |