Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for had a probability of 37.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 37.38% | 23.82% | 38.8% |
| Both teams to score 62.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.03% | 39.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.67% | 62.33% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.5% | 21.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.45% | 54.55% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.19% | 20.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.52% | 53.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.3% 1-0 @ 6.88% 2-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.67% Total : 37.38% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.51% 0-0 @ 4.47% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-1 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.85% Total : 38.8% |