Serie B
Dec 8, 2025 at 2pm UK
 

1-1

Varas Marcillo (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adamo (75')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Calcio Padova and Cesena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reggiana 1-2 Calcio Padova
Saturday, December 13 at 2pm in Serie B
Next Game: Calcio Padova vs. Sampdoria
Saturday, December 20 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cesena 3-2 Mantova
Saturday, December 13 at 6.30pm in Serie B
Next Game: Cesena vs. Juve Stabia
Saturday, December 20 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win was 1-0 (10.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Calcio PadovaDrawCesena
32.52%27.75%39.73%
Both teams to score 48.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.33%57.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.57%78.43%
Calcio Padova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13%32.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56%69.44%
Cesena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65%28.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92%64.08%
Score Analysis
    Calcio Padova 32.52%
    Cesena 39.72%
    Draw 27.74%
Calcio PadovaDrawCesena
1-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 2.7%
3-0 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.52%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.32%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 11.74%
1-2 @ 8.24%
0-2 @ 7.4%
1-3 @ 3.46%
0-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 39.72%

Head to Head
Aug 4, 2024 7.30pm
Preliminary Round
Cesena
3-1
Calcio Padova
Kargbo (9'), Shpendi (38'), Francesconi (86')
Curto (49'), Antonucci (76')
Bortolussi (73')