Coppa Italia | Preliminary Round

Aug 4, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi

Cesena
3 - 1
Calcio Padova

Kargbo (9'), Shpendi (38'), Francesconi (86')
Curto (49'), Antonucci (76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bortolussi (73')

Coverage of the Coppa Italia Preliminary Round clash between Cesena and Calcio Padova.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cesena

All competitions

Last Game: Cesena 4-1 ForlÃ¬
Saturday, July 27 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Calcio Padova

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Calcio Padova
Wednesday, July 31 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesena would win this match.

Result
Cesena	Draw	Calcio Padova
47.73% ( 0.02)	24.76% ( -0.03)	27.51% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.79% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.14% (

0.14)

47.86% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.96% (

0.13)

70.04% (

-0.12)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

0.06)

20.1% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.64% (

0.1)

52.36% (

-0.1)

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57% (

0.08)

31.43% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.2% (

0.09)

67.8% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Cesena 47.73%

Calcio Padova 27.51%

Draw 24.76%

Cesena	Draw	Calcio Padova
1-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.73%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.76%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.51%