Coppa Italia
Aug 4, 2024 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
  • Augustus Kargbo 9' goal
  • Cristian Shpendi 38' goal
  • Marco Curto 49' yellowcard
  • Mirko Antonucci 76' yellowcard
  • Matteo Francesconi 86' goal
  • goal Mattia Bortolussi 73'

Cesena vs Calcio Padova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cesena

All competitions

Calcio Padova

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesena would win this match.

Result

Cesena 47.73% (+0.03)
Draw 24.76% (-0.04)
Calcio Padova 27.51% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.79% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.14% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 47.86% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 29.96% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 70.04% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 14.64% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 85.36% (-0.09)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5 79.9% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 20.1% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 47.64% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 52.36% (-0.11)

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 0.5 68.57% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 31.43% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 32.2% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 67.8% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Cesena 47.73%
Draw 24.76%
Calcio Padova 27.51%
Cesena
1-0 @ 10.13% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.41% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.13% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.03% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.35% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 47.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.45% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.76%
Calcio Padova
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.79% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.62% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.51%