Sassuolo logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore

Sassuolo
1 - 0
Calcio Padova

Volpato (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Montrone (50')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Sassuolo and Calcio Padova.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Sassuolo 2-0 SPAL
Saturday, July 20 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

Calcio Padova

Last Game: Bari 3-0 Calcio Padova
Sunday, July 31 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sassuolo in this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawCalcio Padova
50.54% (0.096000000000004 0.1)24.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)25.36% (-0.087 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.05% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.37% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)46.63% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.1% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)68.89% (0.047000000000011 0.05)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (0.019000000000005 0.02)18.48% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)49.68% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Calcio Padova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.53% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)32.47% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31% (-0.109 -0.11)68.99% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 50.54%
    Calcio Padova 25.36%
    Draw 24.09%
SassuoloDrawCalcio Padova
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 8.55% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 50.54%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 6% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.09%
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 25.36%

rhs 2.0


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