Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 1
Sassuolo

Zaccagni (60')
Kamada (65'), Guendouzi (82'), Zaccagni (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Viti (66')
Volpato (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-1 Lazio
Sunday, May 19 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-2 Cagliari
Sunday, May 19 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Sassuolo
62.73% ( -0.32)	21.15% ( 0.13)	16.12% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 50.29% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.08% (

-0.23)

45.92% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.77% (

-0.22)

68.23% (

0.22)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.97% (

-0.17)

14.03% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.42% (

-0.34)

41.58% (

0.34)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.49% (

0.11)

41.5% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22% (

0.09)

78% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Lazio 62.73%

Sassuolo 16.12%

Draw 21.14%

Lazio	Draw	Sassuolo
1-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 62.73%	1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.14%	0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.12%