Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 63.68% ( | 20.06% ( | 16.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.24% ( | 40.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.86% ( | 63.14% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.85% ( | 12.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.24% ( | 37.76% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.82% ( | 38.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.05% ( | 74.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-0 @ 10.3% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 3-0 @ 7.24% ( 3-1 @ 6.97% 4-0 @ 3.82% ( 4-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 5-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.69% Total : 63.67% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 4.53% ( 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 1-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 16.26% |