Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.